A low-pressure area or depression is expected to form in the central Bay of Bengal around 24 October, according to a private weather forecast. The system is projected to intensify into a cyclonic storm by 26 October. It would mark the first severe cyclone in the Bay of Bengal in nearly three years.
The forecast says the system could strengthen into a major Category 3 cyclone with sustained winds of 160–200 kmph. It is projected to make landfall as a dangerous storm between the central Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts around 28 October.
In Telangana, the eastern districts are likely to see the main effects. Bhadradri-Kothagudem district is likely to receive moderate to heavy rainfall during 29–31 October. Other parts of the state may see only light rain.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has taken a more cautious view. It says a low-pressure area is likely over the southeast and adjoining east-central Bay of Bengal around 23 October. The system should move northwestwards and intensify further. Weather models differ on its peak intensity and exact track, and there is no confirmed Category 3 status or specific landfall point yet.
Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Odisha and adjoining areas are under watch for increased rainfall and rough seas in the coming days. Authorities and residents along the east coast are advised to follow official IMD bulletins closely, as forecasts can change. Fishermen, coastal communities and disaster management teams are advised to stay prepared for possible heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge risks.