A Depression has formed over the Southeast and adjoining Southwest Bay of Bengal, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on 15 November 2026.
The IMD expects the system to become a Deep Depression by the evening of 15 November. It is forecast to turn into Cyclonic Storm Akvan on 16 November over the central parts of the south and adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal. It may intensify into a Severe Cyclonic Storm on 17 November. By around 19 November, it could become a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm, with sustained winds of 120–130 kmph and gusts up to 145 kmph.
After that, the system is forecast to move northwestwards towards the Andhra Pradesh coast. A pre-cyclone watch has been issued for Andhra Pradesh and the adjoining south Odisha coasts. The exact landfall location and the intensity at landfall remain uncertain and should become clearer over the next one to two days. Models currently lean more towards the Andhra coast than Tamil Nadu. Akvan is a name contributed by Iran, taken from the Persian epic Shahnameh. It is the third cyclone of the 2026 season over the Bay of Bengal, after Arnab and Murasu.
For Telangana, the main impact is expected to be rainfall spillover after the system approaches or crosses the Andhra coast, which is currently the more likely track. The preliminary district-wise outlook is:
- Khammam, Bhadradri Kothagudem, Mahabubabad, Suryapet, Nalgonda and Nagarkurnool: moderate to heavy rainfall is possible mainly on 20 and 21 November.
- Rest of Telangana, including Hyderabad: light to moderate showers are possible on 21–22 November.
- Eastern parts: some forecasts extend light rain chances into 23–24 November.
The official IMD local forecast for Hyderabad currently shows partly cloudy skies with haze and no rainfall warnings up to 21 November. Rain chances are expected to rise if the cyclone tracks closer to Andhra Pradesh. Private weather updates, including Telangana Weatherman, point to light showers around 21–22 November under the most likely Andhra landfall scenario. If the system moves towards Odisha or further north, rain in Telangana will be lighter or minimal. A more southerly track could increase rainfall in the state. No major wind threat is expected in Telangana.
Fishermen have been asked to return to the coast and avoid the Andaman Sea and parts of the Bay of Bengal. Coastal Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha are under heightened watch. Farmers in the eastern districts of Telangana have been advised to protect harvested paddy. Track and intensity forecasts can still change, and residents are advised to follow official IMD updates and local district administration advisories over the next 2–3 days.
